Category: Macro Economics
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The Normalisation of the Yield Curve

Historically inversion of the yield curve had forewarned a recession in the making. After 2 decades of low-interest rates, runaway inflation post-Covid had finally pushed the federal reserves to increase the short-term rates at an unprecedented pace, now at over 5.5%.
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Is this a Sucker Rally?

The stock market rally which begin in Jan of 2023 seem more driven by emotional factors than macro trends. While all signs points to lower inflation (main trigger for last year selloff)
